Management of Low-Risk Small Choroidal Melanoma
By Lynda Seminara
Selected by Richard K. Parrish II, MD
Journal Highlights
American Journal of Ophthalmology, September 2022
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The approach to managing small choroidal melanoma (SCM) remains a highly debated topic. Diagnostic uncertainty is common, and many tumors labeled SCMs have turned out to be choroidal nevi that wouldn’t need vision-threatening intervention. Despite the trend toward immediate treatment of tumors deemed to be SCMs, the risk of metastasis in patients with these tumors is reportedly very low (≤3%). Using a diagnostic predictive model, Singh et al. applied probabilistic selection to discern SCMs that could be observed rather than treated immediately. They also quantified the potential loss of vision and the potential avoidance of metastasis for patients treated immediately who may have benefited from a surveillance period to monitor growth before proceeding to treatment.
The authors identified 167 patients who appeared to have an SCM (5-16 mm in largest basal diameter and 1-2.5 mm in height). Forty-two were treated after documentation of tumor growth during surveillance, and 125 were treated immediately. A model was applied to each patient in the immediate-treatment group to obtain the predicted risk of melanoma (high vs. low) and to compare gain (freedom from metastasis) and loss (vision loss) between the low-risk immediate treatment group and the group treated after surveillance. Kaplan-Meier methodology was used to estimate the rates of metastasis-free and overall survival.
Using the optimal cutoff point (.60; 95% confidence interval, .37-.61) of predicted risk for SCM (sensitivity, .74; specificity, .95), 75% of cases were classified as high risk (score ≥.6) and 25% as low risk (score <.6). During the median follow-up period of 34.6 months, metastasis occurred in five patients in the immediate-treatment group (four high risk, one low risk) and one in the initial-surveillance group. By 36 months, the proportion of patients whose VA declined by less than 15 letters did not differ significantly between low-risk patients treated immediately or after surveillance (81% vs. 83%, respectively). Among patients with documented tumor growth before treatment, none died, and one experienced metastasis. Among the low-risk group treated immediately (no surveillance), two died, and one had metastasis. The Kaplan-Meier estimate of three-year metastasis-free survival was 100% for those who initially were observed and 96% for low-risk patients treated immediately.
“Low-risk choroidal melanoma identified by the prediction model can be labeled as an indeterminate melanocytic tumor,” said the authors. For such cases, they recommend an observation period to monitor tumor growth before initiating treatment, which does not appear to increase the risk of metastasis-related death, they said.
The original article can be found here.